Budget 2018 goals to range from deficit reduction to lifting capex

BE expects the budget deficit to come in at 3.4% of GDP in fiscal 2018, down from 3.5% in the previous year

India’s Finance Minister Arun Jaitley is likely to deliver mostly good news on fiscal consolidation when he unveils next year’s budget on Feb. 1. The government is set to overshoot its deficit target in the current year through March, largely due to lower dividend payments from the central bank. The proposed budget for fiscal 2019 though, will look better -- for deficit reduction and investment plans.

The consensus view is that Jaitley has to choose between two competing goals: either purse its aim to cut the deficit to 3% of GDP, or boost investment needed to spur growth and