Kenneth Rogoff

Reshaping the debate: Is capitalism the cause of global inequality?

Western observers rarely pay more than lip service to the roughly 85 per cent of the world's population living in the Global South

Will Trump get his wish for a weaker dollar?

One would hope that a Trump administration would not try to interfere with foreign-exchange markets beyond instituting tariffs

Are Americans ready for the US-China trade war?

Despite what many in the US may think, economic decoupling is not a viable option

Central banks' new-old inflationary bias

This is not to say that individual central bankers are untrustworthy. The problem is that most central banks are not as independent as many believe

Can Europe's economy exceed expectations in 2024?

Despite stabilising the United Kingdom, Prime Minister Rishi Sunak is hindered by the widespread perception that he is a lame duck

What's behind the US market disconnect?

The rally is fuelled by the expectation that AI will remain unregulated, but there is little reason to believe it can last

Don't count on a soft landing for the global economy

Despite the relatively buoyant consensus, recent developments suggest that the risks to global growth are still tilted to the downside

The stunning resilience of emerging markets

Prudent economic policies and central bank independence have allowed them to defy analysts' expectations of a debt spiral

Facing an economic crisis, is the UK turning into an emerging market?

The Truss government's two most problematic policies are the tax cuts for the wealthy and the energy subsidies

Fiscal policy should return to fundamentals

The longstanding argument that go-go Keynesian fiscal stimulus is the answer to every imaginable economic shock has been exposed as bankrupt

Why is the IMF trying to be an aid agency?

Forceful conditionality is essential to establish financial stability and ensure that IMF's resources do not end up financing capital flight

China's housing conundrum

As impressive as China has been at building roads, bridges, and houses, its real estate construction boom is coming to an end, and there is no reason to expect a smooth landing

Fairer way to help developing economies

The proposed Green New Deal in the United States and the European Commission's European Green Deal have laudable environmental goals but are too inward-looking

The case for a World Carbon Bank

It is high time to create a new, focused agency, a World Carbon Bank, that provides a vehicle for advanced economies to coordinate aid and technical transfer

Leave the renminbi out of US-China trade talks

The accusation that China is manipulating the exchange rate is completely out of touch with recent history

Elizabeth Warren's big ideas on Big Tech

Warren is courageous because Big Tech is big money for most leading Democratic candidates, particularly progressives, for whom California is a veritable campaign-financing ATM

Risks to the global economy in 2019

The biggest economic risks will emerge in those areas where investors think recent patterns are unlikely to change

Central bankers' fiscal constraints

The ones serious about preparing for recessions should be looking hard at proposals for how to pay interest on money, both positive and negative, which is by far the most elegant solution

Kenneth Rogoff: Is the US Fed playing politics?

Central bankers have of course been known to help incumbents before elections, by allowing inflation to drift up and keep employment booming

Kenneth Rogoff: The case against cash

Scaling back paper currency would hardly end crime and tax evasion, but it would force the underground economy to employ riskier options