The demand for solvents in the US is forecast to rise 1.1 percent annually through 2020 to 9.6 billion pounds, reflecting continued economic growth and, in particular, ongoing healthy increases in construction activity, according to a new study from the Freedonia Group, a Cleveland-based industry research firm. Strength in both residential and nonresidential building construction will stimulate demand for related materials, such as paint and coatings and adhesives and sealants.
Environmental regulations will continue to drive a shift toward less hazardous solvents with reduced emissions and lower toxicity. Public perception and consumer preference will also favor green products derived from renewable resources such as plant-based alcohols, soy methyl ester, and terpenes. Changes in the oil and natural gas industry will also impact demand, with reduced drilling rates in the near term holding back solvent consumption, and relatively low crude oil and natural gas prices providing a more competitive position for conventional solvents.
Demand for green solvents that avoid any of a number of potential environmental pitfalls will advance at an above average pace, offering growth opportunities in many otherwise mature applications. In particular, green solvent demand will outpace conventional solvent demand in food production, chemical processing, cosmetics and toiletries, cleaning products, and printing inks. In many cases solvent users will turn to products with lower emissions or better toxicity profiles to address tightening volatile organic compound (VOC) and hazardous air pollutant (HAP) regulations.
Solvent demand in the US (by products) in 2015; Source: Freedonia
"Rising crude oil and natural gas prices will also impact the competitiveness of conventional solvents, which had benefited from a better cost position compared to green solvents," said Freedonia report.