 "Can Afghanistan qualify for ICC Men's T20 World Cup 2024 semifinal?")
The result of low-scoring thriller will decide the fourth semifinalist of ICC Men's T20 World Cup 2024 on Tuesday morning (June 25). The Afghanistan vs Bangladesh match is underway at St Vincent.
With India occupying the top spot on the way to the semifinals, the other three teams can qualify as the second side from Group 1 since Afghanistan, Australia, and Bangladesh have two points each.
Let's check the scenarios of all the remaining three sides:
Afghanistan scenario for semifinal berth
Rashid Khan's men must beat Bangladesh in their last Super Eights match to qualify for the T20 World Cup semifinals, following India's 24-run win over Australia.
The equation is simple for Rashid Khan's Afghanistan, which has a negative net run rate of -0.650. Afghanistan will topple Australia from second place in Group 1 points table if they beat Bangla Tigers and advance to the final four, irrespective of their NRR, as they will end up with four points.
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Washout to help Afghanistan's cause
Even a no-result finish in the contest in St Vincent would see Afghanistan qualifying for the semifinals, as they would get one point, taking their tally to three.
Bangladesh's qualification scenario for semifinal
Bangladesh, who lost both their matches in the Super Eights stage, hold the fate of former champions Australia in their hands.
Bangladesh need to reach the target in 12.1 overs or can take up to 12.5 if they hit a six once the scores are tied.
Australia's Semifinal qualification scenario
But a victory for Bangladesh by any lesser margin would see Australia, who have a NRR of -0.331, make it to the last four as Afghanistan would not be able to improve their NRR sufficiently.
Earlier, Afghanistan had augmented their chances of making their first-ever World Cup semifinal when they defeated the mighty Australians on Saturday.
| ICC Men's T20 World Cup 2024 Super 8 Group 1 points table | ||||||
| Teams | M | W | L | NR | PT | NRR |
| India (Q) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2.017 |
| Australia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -0.331 |
| Afghanistan | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -0.65 |
| Bangladesh | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2.489 |
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