India will become the world's third-largest economy by 2030, a report released by S&P Global Ratings said on Tuesday. In 2026-27, India's gross domestic product (GDP) is expected to grow 7 per cent. India is currently the fifth largest economy in the world behind the US, China, Germany and Japan.
In its "Global Credit Outlook 2024", S&P said that India would be the fastest-growing emerging market in the world. Still, its paramount test will be whether the country can become the next big global manufacturing hub.
S&P said India is expected to grow at 6.4 per cent in 2023-24 as compared to 7.2 per cent in the previous financial year. The rating agency said the growth rate will remain at 6.4 per cent in 2024-25 before climbing to 6.9 per cent in the next and 7 per cent in 2026-27.
"We see India reaching 7 per cent in 2026-27 fiscal...India is set to become the third-largest economy by 2030, and we expect it will be the fastest growing major economy in the next three years," S&P said.
"A strong logistics framework will be key in transforming India from a services-dominated economy into a manufacturing-dominant one," it said.
Unlocking the labour market potential will largely depend upon upskilling workers and increasing female participation in the workforce.
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"Success in these two areas will enable India to realize its demographic dividend," it said.
S&P also said a booming domestic digital market could fuel expansion in India's high-growth startup ecosystem during the next decade, especially in financial and consumer technology.
In the automotive sector, India is poised for growth, building on infrastructure, investment, and innovation, it added.