Rupee recovers losses after hitting new intraday low of 84.76 per dollar

Market participants said that the RBI might have sold around $2 billion today, which helped the domestic currency cut losses

The rupee recovered all losses after touching a new intraday low of 84.76 per dollar, as the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) intervened in the foreign exchange market via dollar sales, said dealers.

 

The local currency ended 2 paise stronger at 84.68 against the US dollar, compared to 84.70 per dollar on Monday.

 

Market participants said the RBI might have sold around $2 billion, which helped the domestic currency cut losses. The RBI has been actively intervening in the foreign exchange market to curb volatility, with reserves declining as much as $48 billion over the past two months (since September 27). 

 

   

“The RBI may have sold around 2 yards ($2 billion) to protect the rupee from further fall beyond 84.76 per dollar,” said Anil Kumar Bhansali, head of treasury and executive director, Finrex Treasury Advisors LLP.

 

The rupee depreciated in early trade, tracking the weakness in the Chinese yuan, which slumped to a year-low. Significant dollar demand in the non-deliverable forwards market further weighed on the local currency, said dealers. Reports indicate that the RBI holds a total of $70 billion in short positions in both offshore and onshore rupee markets, they added.

 

The market believes the 85 per dollar mark remains on the cards; however, the timeline by which the Indian unit might breach the psychologically crucial level will depend on the extent of intervention by the central bank.

 

“The Chinese yuan has been weakening, and then we had disappointing GDP data, which led to a fall in the rupee,” said a dealer at a state-owned bank. “The course of the rupee’s movement will be decided by the RBI from here,” he added.

 

India’s economic growth slowed more sharply than anticipated in the July-September period of FY25, dropping to a seven-quarter low of 5.4 per cent, surprising analysts who had projected growth to hover around 6.5 per cent in the quarter.

 

The Indian unit depreciated 1.75 per cent against the dollar in 2024.