Uttar Pradesh is the BJP's to lose. Or is it?

The final phase voting will be held on March 8, while the counting will be held on 11 March

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Amitabh Dubey | Chunauti.org

Last Updated : Mar 20 2017 | 9:06 AM IST

As counting day on 11 March approaches, it seems as difficult as ever to gauge which way the political wind in Uttar Pradesh (UP) is blowing. Even before the campaign began, pre-election opinion polls offered little help, showing the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and the Samajwadi Party (SP)-Congress alliance neck and neck, with the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) lagging.

We know from elections in Delhi (2015), Bihar (2015) and West Bengal (2016) that a dead heat in pre-election polls is almost never a good predictor of the eventual outcome.

So what are the BJP’s chances of pulling off a win?

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