Crude Oil Outlook
Crude oil prices rose on Monday, with WTI Crude futures up 2.3 per cent to $83.38 a barrel. The increase was driven by OPEC's slight production decline in June and China's better-than-expected manufacturing activity. Additionally, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Russia, along with a falling dollar, contributed to the price gains.
Technically: On the daily timeframe, MCX Crude Oil for July is forming a higher high and higher low pattern, indicating bullish sentiments. A bullish candlestick pattern further supports this outlook.
Additionally, a positive crossover of the 21-day and 50-day EMAs suggests a positive trend. Key resistance levels are around 7,115 and 7,250, while support levels are at 6,920 and 6,860.
Intraday Trading Strategy
– Buy MCX July Crude Oil futures at Rs 6,950-7,000 with a stop loss of Rs 6,860 and a price target of Rs 7,250
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Copper Outlook
Copper prices held steady after two days of gains as investors considered potential stimulus in China and possible interest rate cuts in the US. The metal rose from a two-month low due to optimism about China's upcoming policy meeting and increased expectations for US rate cuts. Copper traded at $9,623.50 a ton on the LME, with other metals also seeing gains.
Technically: On the daily chart, MCX Copper for July is forming a lower high and lower low pattern, currently hovering near its support level. A break below 838 would indicate further bearish sentiments.
The price is trading below both the 21-day and 50-day EMAs, suggesting continued weakness. Resistance levels are around 855 and 863, while support levels are at 838 and 827.
Intraday Trading Strategy
– Sell MCX July Copper futures at Rs 843-838 with a stop loss of Rs 850 and a price target of Rs 827
(Neha Qureshi is a senior manager, technical research analyst of commodities & currency. Views expressed are her own.)