Nifty Auto skids 3% as Sept passenger vehicle sales slow, CV sales fall

Nifty Auto index declined 2.7 per cent in trade today amid a slowdown in PV sales and fall in CV sales

Automobile stocks plunged in Thursday's trade with all 15 stocks in the Nifty Auto index falling up to 4.3 per cent intraday today. The index also slipped 2.7 per cent in trade after auto sales data for September revealed a slowdown in passenger vehicle (PV) sales and a decline in commercial vehicle (CV) sales volume.

At around 1:50 PM, the Nifty Auto index was down 2.73 per cent at 26,406.95. In comparison, the NSE Nifty index was down 2.04 per cent at 25,270.3 at around the same time.

Individually, Apollo Tyres and TVS Motor Company slipped over 4 per cent. Similarly, Tata Motors, Samvardhana Motherson, Maruti Suzuki, Ashok Leyland, Eicher Motors, Exide Industries, Bharat Forge, and Balkrishna Industries were down over 3 per cent each.

 

Meanwhile, MRF, Bajaj Auto, and Hero MotoCorp slipped over 2 per cent each, while Bosch declined over 1 per cent, and Mahindra and Mahindra (M&M) 0.68 per cent intraday

Maruti Suzuki's domestic PV volumes declined 4 per cent led by a 12 per cent decline in the Compact segment and flat growth in the Mini segment.

Sports Utility Vehicle (SUV) volume growth for Maruti Suzuki also slowed more than 4 per cent in September 2024. The company has been facing a slowdown in the segment since July 2024 due to the high base and increasing competition in the SUV category.

Meanwhile, Tata Motors reported 9 per cent volume degrowth for the fourth consecutive month with electric vehicle (EV) sales declining 23 per cent Y-o-Y. The withdrawal of subsidy on fleet electric cars has dampened demand for Tata Motors EVs.

The company's Medium and Heavy Commercial Vehicles (MHCV) volumes were down 28 per cent, while its Intermediate Light Commercial Vehicle (ILCV) segment declined 16 per cent Y-o-Y.

Furthermore, its small commercial vehicle (SCV) cargo and pickup segment was lower by 26 per cent. The bus segment too posted a decline of 7 per cent for the first time since April 2023.

Likewise, Ashok Leyland's total volumes declined 10 per cent Y-o-Y with domestic volumes falling 12 per cent Y-o-Y. Domestic MHCV Truck/Bus volumes declined 17 per cent/3 per cent Y-o-Y. Domestic LCV volumes declined 6 per cent Y-o-Y.

Meanwhile, M&M's total CV volume declined 1 per cent Y-o-Y. Light Commercial Vehicles (LCV) (more than 3.5 tonne) declined 11 per cent Y-o-Y.

As per Tata Motors, the weak trend in the medium and heavy commercial vehicle segment was due to a slowdown in infrastructure project execution with a reduction in mining activity amid heavy monsoons, which led to lower fleet utilisation.

According to analysts at SBI Securities, PV sales continued to remain in the slow lane in September, while the prominent CV players' sales volume faced headwinds owing to less demand due to heavy rains.

The brokerage expects PV sales to pick up in the second half of the current financial year (H2FY25).

Emkay Global, on the other hand, sees MHCV demand picking up from Q3, led by intermediate and medium trucks and buses, followed by heavy CVs.

"We continue to prefer two-wheelers (2Ws) on a relative basis amid the broadening recovery and potential of a replacement-led ~2-3-year visibility; we also believe CVs and tractors would likely enter an upcycle from H2FY25. Our top OEM picks are Ashok Leyland, Tata Motors, and Hero MotoCorp; in ancillaries we prefer Shriram Pistons, Pricol, JK Tyre, CEAT, and Suprajit Engineering," the brokerage added.