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Nifty FMCG downturn possible below 55,150; Nifty Realty to be rangebound

A prospective downturn is anticipated, contingent upon the Nifty FMCG index breaching the crucial threshold of 55150, as per Ravi Nathani

Markets, bulls, bears, stocks, trading, technicals, market technical, technical analysis

Ravi Nathani Mumbai

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Navigating Market Trends: Nifty FMCG Index Analysis

The Nifty FMCG Index with last close at 55,954 exhibits a nuanced market sentiment that demands strategic consideration.

A prospective downturn is anticipated, contingent upon the index breaching the crucial threshold of 55150.

For near-term traders, pivotal support levels are identified at 54280, 53420, and 52180, providing key markers for risk management.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) registers a decline to 51.28, reflecting a potential weakening of the current trend.

Simultaneously, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) exhibits a downward trajectory, reinforcing the bearish outlook.

In response to these technical signals, a recommended strategy entails a cautious "sell on rise" approach, leveraging upward market movements.
 

Resistance is anticipated around 56400 and 56800, offering valuable insights for potential exit points.

Traders are advised to remain vigilant, closely monitoring the critical 55150 level as a potential trigger for selling, and adapt their strategies to the evolving dynamics of the Nifty FMCG Index.

As market trends unfold, strategic decision-making and risk management will be pivotal for traders navigating the complexities of the FMCG sector.

Nifty Realty Index: Navigating Consolidation

The Nifty Realty Index with last close at 863 is poised for a near-term consolidation within the range of 895 to 825. A decisive trade above or below this range is expected to act as a trigger, signaling the direction of the market.

It's crucial to note that a potential initiation of fresh selling is anticipated only if the index falls below 825.

In the event of such a breakdown, the subsequent support levels on the charts are projected around 810 and 780.

The optimal trading strategy in this scenario involves selling on upward movements near the upper band of the consolidation range and buying near support levels near the lower band.

This approach aims to capitalize on the oscillations within the established range until a clear breakout manifests on the charts.

As traders navigate this consolidation phase, adaptability and strategic decision-making will be key.

Staying vigilant and aligning trading strategies with the upper and lower bounds of the consolidation range allows for optimized entry and exit points.

Traders are encouraged to patiently await a decisive breakout for more directional trading cues in the dynamic landscape of the Nifty Realty Index.

Disclaimer: Ravi Nathani is an independent technical analyst and he does not hold any positions in the Indices mentioned above and this is not an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. It should not be construed as a recommendation to purchase or sell such securities.

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First Published: Jan 19 2024 | 7:11 AM IST

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