Business Standard

Nifty50: Near-term consolidation with negative bias on cards

Nifty outlook: Short-term charts unveil a cautious scenario, where a fresh bullish momentum is anticipated only beyond the 22,124 mark, as per Ravi Nathani

Nifty 50

Ravi Nathani Mumbai

Listen to This Article

Navigating the Nifty 50: Tactical Approach Amid Short-Term Volatility

Investors are navigating through a maze of short-term fluctuations against a backdrop of bullish long-term prospects. At the current market price of 21,353, the Nifty index reveals a nuanced picture that demands a strategic outlook.

Short-term charts unveil a cautious scenario, where a fresh bullish momentum is anticipated only beyond the 22,124 mark.

However, the near-term trajectory suggests an impending consolidation with a negative bias. This dichotomy underscores the importance of timing and patience in capitalizing on market movements.

Identifying key support levels on the weekly charts becomes imperative for informed decision-making.
 

Levels at 20864, 20481, and 20080 emerge as critical zones where investors could consider accumulating fresh positions amidst corrections. These levels serve not only as strategic entry points but also as buffers against short-term volatility.

Technical indicators further illuminate the market sentiment. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), after reaching overbought territory, has retreated to 65.81, signaling a decline from its peak at 77 and closing below the pivotal 70 mark.

This downturn in RSI suggests bearish signals, indicative of a potential shift in market dynamics. Similarly, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram inching towards zero amplifies the negative sentiment, particularly for the short to medium term.

Against this backdrop, a prudent strategy emerges. Investors are advised to exercise restraint and allow the market to complete its correction phase before initiating fresh positions.

This deliberate approach not only mitigates risks associated with short-term volatility but also positions investors to capitalize on favorable market dynamics.

In conclusion, the Nifty 50 Index presents a confluence of opportunities and challenges, necessitating a balanced and calculated approach.

Amidst short-term fluctuations, investors are encouraged to remain vigilant, leveraging key support levels and technical indicators to inform their investment decisions.

By exercising patience and strategic acumen, investors can navigate the complexities of the market landscape and capitalize on emerging opportunities for long-term growth and prosperity.

Disclaimer: Ravi Nathani is an independent technical analyst. He does not hold any positions in the Indices mentioned above and this is not an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. It should not be construed as a recommendation to purchase or sell such securities.

Don't miss the most important news and views of the day. Get them on our Telegram channel

First Published: Jan 29 2024 | 7:04 AM IST

Explore News