Sensex sinks 294 pts as RBI keeps repo rate unchanged, Nifty nears 18,600
CLOSING BELL, JUNE 8, 2023: Sun Pharma, Kotak Bank, Tech M, M&M, Axis Bank, HUL, Tata Motors, TCS, Nestle India, and Bajaj twins dropped between 1 per cent and 3 per cent
OMCs can be expected to lower fuel prices, says top ministry official
Expert on RBI Policy: Rate pause signals previous 250 bps rate hike yet to fully impact the economy
As anticipated, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has chosen not to increase interest rates, citing the belief that the previous 250 basis points rate hike implemented since last May has yet to fully impact the economy. The presence of global uncertainty is an additional factor influencing the RBI's cautious approach, as a rate hike could potentially hinder economic growth. Predictions indicate that inflation for the fiscal year 2024 is expected to remain above 4 percent, and fluctuations in crude oil prices, influenced by Saudi Arabia's announcement of production cuts, could further elevate inflation. The unresolved uncertainty surrounding El Nino also poses a risk of inflationary spikes. Consequently, the RBI has opted to adopt a careful stance by refraining from raising interest rates.
Views expressed by Sunil Damania, Chief Investment Officer, MarketsMojo
Rate sensitive shares trade mixed after RBI keeps repo unchanged at 6.5%
Explained: Repo rate unchanged at 6.5%, worst over for home loan borrowers
BSE Power index gains 2% on hopes of higher demand; NTPC hits 5-year high
EXPERT VIEW: Interest rate pause to be supportive of housing demand
However, certain crucial growth indicators, particularly consumer durable goods in the IIP (Index of Industrial Production), which reflects household consumption, are yet to show sustained recovery.
Real estate loan demand from both housing and commercial segments has remained strong, despite a 150 bps rise in the base lending rate (MCLR) over the past year. However, we remain cautious about the industry, as the complete transmission of the repo rate hikes to lending rates is yet to be observed.
Views by Shishir Baijal, Chairman and Managing Director, Knight Frank India
Expert on RBI Policy: Lower FY24 inflation estimate signals end of the rate-hike cycle
Even though the MPC’s rate decision and stance have come on expected lines as pause and withdrawal of accommodation respectively, the Governor’s commentary can be interpreted as positive. The central bank’s projection of FY24 CPI inflation has come at 5.1%, lower than 5.2% projected in the previous meeting. This indicates that the MPC has come to the end of this rate hiking cycle. If the monsoon is normal and the global scenario is favourable, the MPC may think about a rate cut by end CY2023 or early 2024. From the stock market perspective, this is positive. The Governor’s remark that “India’s economic and financial sector remains resilient amidst global turmoil” is a reflection of India’s strong and improving fundamentals.
Views expressed by Dr V K Vijayakukar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Financial Services
Expert on RBI Policy: Sharp swing between WPI, CPI spreads to benefit consumer-centric companies
RBI adopts its realistic approach of balancing growth & inflation dynamics, decoupling from the global economy. Also, the past 2 months of CPI inflation is below the RBI tolerance limit, which gives comfort to the RBI to keep repo rate & stance unchanged. The sharp swing between WPI & CPI spread from positive 880 bps in May'22 to negative 560 bps in Apr'23 will benefit the gross margins of consumer facing sectors.
Views expressed by Manish Jain, Fund Manager, Coffee Can PMS, Ambit Asset Management
RBI Policy LIVE: Guv Das concludes his monetary policy address
>> Will remain proactive in dealing with emerging risks to price and financial stability.
RBI Policy LIVE: Propose to permit issuance of Rupay prepaid forex cards by banks
RBI Policy LIVE: Quarterly real GDP growth projection for FY24
Q2FY24:: 6.5%
Q3FY24:: 6%
Q4FY24:: 5.7%
RBI Policy LIVE: Propose to permit non-bank PPI issuers to issue e-rupee vouchers
RBI Policy LIVE: Rupee has remained stable since January, says Governor Das
Sector Alert:: BSE Auto index slips into red; Eicher, TVS down over 1%
RBI Policy LIVE: Forex reserves remained stable at around $595.1 billion as on June 2, 2023
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First Published: Jun 08 2023 | 7:13 AM IST