Recent strong rally leaves little room for IT firms to disappoint

The Nifty IT index has started to outperform the Nifty from around November 2023. It has delivered 26 per cent return in the last 12 months

Analysts are cautious about the performance of IT services sector from January to March quarter (Q4) of FY24 and the first half (H1) of FY25. While the Bloomberg consensus on revenue implies the market is expecting 2-3 per cent growth on a quarter-on-quarter (Q-o-Q) basis for the IT majors through FY25, the H1FY25 is likely to see even flatter returns, and Q4FY24 is likely to be poor. There is likely to be some recovery in the second half (H2FY25) but even so, there’s a chance that the market will be overall disappointed.

One way to look at the industry is