CLOSING BELL ON AUGUST 10, 2023: Private bank and select auto stocks ended with notable losses after the RBI on Thursday asked banks to maintain Incremental Cash Reserve Ratio (ICRR) at 10 per cent.
Despite the current surge in CPI inflation, bulk of the rise came from food prices rather than in a broad-based fashion
India's improved monsoon performance, continued expansion in manufacturing, and vigorous capital expenditure spending by the public and private sectors augur well for macroeconomic stability and growth during FY24, the finance ministry said in a report. However, it cautioned that cross-border spillovers and adverse global developments can act anytime as a deterrent to achieving the potential high growth path in the current financial year. The government's emphasis on capex in recent years has given a much-needed thrust to investments in key infrastructure, which has resulted in crowding in of private investment to kickstart the virtuous circle of job creation, income, productivity, demand, and exports supported by favourable demographic dividend over the coming years, said the June edition of the Finance Ministry's Monthly Economic Review. As per Axis Bank Business and Economic Research, Capex by the Corporate sector increased by 22.4 per cent in FY23 compared to the last year, driv
CPI-based inflation rate increased to 4.8 per cent in June 2023, from 4.3 per cent in May, primarily on account of an increase in food inflation
Another worry for the RBI and the markets are the monsoons back home (intensity and spatial distribution)
The IIP growth rate for the month of May came at 5.2%, according to the government release
It was for the second month in a row that retail inflation remained within the RBI's comfort zone of below six per cent
CLOSING BELL ON JUNE 12, 2023: The Nifty reclaimed the 17,600 level; In the broader market, BSE Midcap index advanced 0.5 per cent, and Smallcap added 0.7 per cent on Monday.
'Banks have been cautious. I think there is still some amount of liquidity sitting there', said Das
Economic growth projections were retained at 6.5%, with first two quarters expected to deliver slightly more. Second half likely to yield moderately less pace of growth than assessed in April
RBI monetary policy: In April, the MPC had decided to pause the repo rate hike for the first time since May 2022
The core inflation has remained stuck in the range of 5-6.6 per cent for over two years
The food inflation also eased to 3.84% in April
According to govt data, urban inflation in March was 5.89%, while rural inflation was 5.51%
Consumer prices rose 6.44% in February, breaching the Reserve Bank of India's target ceiling
Retail inflation: his is lower than 6.52 per cent in January but still above the Reserve Bank of India's upper tolerance limit of 6 per cent
"We expect CPI inflation to average 5.5 per cent (6.7 per cent in F23 estimates) and the current account deficit to track at 2.5 per cent of GDP in F24 (2.9 per cent in F23 estimates)"
IMF added that the central banks across Asia need to stay 'alert' as the core inflation is still high, and the re-opening of China's economy may push inflation up due to higher demand
In a recent report the RBI said that the retreat of inflation is expected to be stubborn and beset by supply shocks in the upcoming year
Latest reading has increased uncertainty