Page 4 - Crisil

FPI selling, liquidity deficit tightening financial conditions: CRISIL

Financial conditions have tightened the economy with liquidity going into a deeper deficit putting upward pressure on short-term rates, according to a research report by CRISIL Market Intelligence and Analytics. The report released during the month also said that foreign portfolio investors turned net sellers further aggravating the tight liquidity conditions. With tightening of the liquidity, the transmission of interest rates improved across lending and deposit rates in January. However, the cumulative rise in most deposit and lending rates remained lower than the 250 basis points of repo rate increase by the RBI since May 2022, the report said. This incomplete transmission of monetary policy prompted the Reserve Bank of India to keep the interest rates unchanged, the research body said in the report. "We believe that the central bank will be active in liquidity management and adopt regulatory measures to prevent excesses in credit growth. We foresee the RBI cutting rates from Ju

CRISIL Q4 results: Profit jumps 33% to Rs 210 cr on back of currency gains

Domestic rating agency Crisil, majority owned by S&P Global, on Friday reported a 33 per cent jump in net profit at Rs 210 crore for the December 2023 quarter. The city-headquartered company said its income from operations rose 11.6 per cent in the reporting quarter to Rs 917.7 crore, while total consolidated income grew 13.4 per cent to Rs 953.6 crore from Rs 840.6 crore in the corresponding quarter of the previous year. The company also announced a final dividend of Rs 28/share, taking the total dividend for the year to Rs 54/share against Rs 48 in the previous year. The company, in a statement, said the bottom line was boosted by a one-off gain of Rs 29.4 crore due to the sharp devaluation of the Argentinian currency peso in December. For the full year ending December 2023, its consolidated income from operations rose 13.4 per cent to Rs 3,139.5 crore from Rs 2,768.7 crore in the previous year, and consolidated total income gained 11.6 per cent to Rs 3,246.4 crore from Rs ...

Vegetarian thali costlier in last one year, non-veg thali cheaper: CRISIL

The rise in the cost of a veg thali signals that the food inflation inched up in January as compared to January 2023

CRISIL upgrades rating on Adani Power's bank loan facilities to 'AA-'

Crisil Ratings has upgraded its ratings on Adani Power's Rs 38,000 crore of bank loan facilities to 'AA-', saying the business and financial risk profile of the company has seen "strong improvement". The loan facilities were rated 'A' with a stable outlook earlier. "The rating upgrade follows the strong improvement in the business and financial risk profiles of APL," Crisil Ratings said in a report. The upgradation is driven by better-than-expected operating performance backed by timely commissioning and ramp-up of the Godda power plant (1.6 GW), Mahan power plant (1.2 GW), full recovery of pending regulatory dues related to claims for fuel costs as pass-through under change in law clauses of existing power purchase agreements (PPAs) and continued improvement in receivables, it said. "The rating also factors in the completion of most of the regulatory investigations into Adani Group. Regulatory investigations in two remaining allegations are underway and are expected to be complete

Indian economy to grow at 6.7% between fiscals 2024 to 2031: CRISIL

The Indian economy is expected to grow at an average rate of 6.7 per cent per annum until the end of the decade, CRISIL said in its latest report. The economy will grow at this rate between the financial years 2024 to 2031, a notch above the pre-pandemic average of 6.6 per cent. According to CRISIL, the key contributor to this trend will be capital. This is a result of the investment-driven strategy of the government when the private sector was shy of making investments. The government increased capital expenditure significantly to support building expenditure and providing interest-free loans to states to bolster their own investment efforts, the report said. CRISIL said that after a robust 7.3 per cent growth this fiscal, there will be moderation to 6.4 per cent in the next financial year. There is also a need to monitor the impact of the escalation of the Middle East conflict on energy and logistics costs, it said. In India, the inflation level of 5.7 per cent in December 202

Interim Budget: 'Fiscally prudent, growth-promoting pronouncement'

The underlying nominal GDP growth assumption of 10.5 per cent for the Budget and tax collection estimates are realistic

Agricultural commodities may be significantly impacted by Red Sea crisis

The Red Sea crisis has led to a 122% rise in freight costs in the last few months, according to ICRA

Cement industry to add 150-160 million tonnes capacity by FY28: CRISIL

To cash in on rising demand from infrastructure and housing sectors, the cement industry is on course to add capacity by 150-160 million tonnes from FY25 to FY28, a report said on Tuesday. In the past five fiscals, the industry has added capacity by 119 million tonnes (MT) per annum to reach a total of 595 MT now, according to a Crisil Ratings report. The capacity addition is for the purpose of meeting the rising demand as well as to consolidate market share in a highly fragmented and competitive industry, the report added. Cement demand grew 8 per cent in fiscal 2022 and 12 per cent in FY23. As much as 70-75 MT capacity addition is expected to be commissioned in next fiscal, with 50-55 per cent concentrated in the eastern and central regions. Large players will account for 50-55 per cent of the planned capacity addition, the report said, adding, however, incremental supply and stiffer competition will cap price growth but benign cost will protect and aid margins. Robust demand i

Fall in prices of onion, tomato pushed cost of veg thali down 3% in Dec

On a year-on-year basis, however, the cost of veg thali continues to be higher than in December 2022

Higher domestic demand, exports to put pharma SMEs in pink of health

This augurs well for small and medium enterprises (SMEs), which have a 35-40 per cent share in industry revenue

Steel sector boom to continue in FY24 but moderate in FY25 : CRISIL

The Indian steel sector has enjoyed a multi-year demand surge which will continue in the current FY'24 but it is expected to moderate in the coming fiscal, global analytics company Crisil said. The sector has witnessed double digit demand growth rate of 11 to 13 per cent during three consecutive years and is likely to moderate to 3 to 5 per cent in FY'25, Miren Lodha, Director Research, Crisil Market Intelligence and Analytics said on Friday. "We are clearly in the midst of a demand supercycle," Lodha told PTI. The moderation is likely in the long steel segment in FY'25 ahead of the general election. The only other instance of such a demand surge in the last two decades was between 2006 to 2008, he said. Lodha said the infrastructure sector, a key driver of the steel demand, is expected to maintain its momentum fuelled by ongoing government projects. The infrastructure segment has been driving a lot of momentum in the steel demand and is expected to continue in the coming years.

Vehicle loan AUM for NBFCs to cross Rs 8 trillion in 2024-25: CRISIL

The growth in AUMs will be driven by rising demand for commercial vehicles, cars, utility vehicles, and two-/three-wheelers

CRISIL analysis: Moderation in input prices to ease pressure on margins

Apart from creating a presence in generics, larger players are also developing specialty products, biosimilars, and complex generics, which will be key medium-term growth drivers for the industry

Auto sector to take a V-turn in FY25 on election winds, new models

Luxury car segment will continue to rise its EV penetration. However, the tipping point is still a few years away. Customers require convincing on ownership benefits and hassle-free experience

Shipping companies revenue may decline by 5-7% in next fiscal: CRISIL

Domestic shipping companies are likely to see a further 5-7 per cent decline in revenue in the next financial year amid normalisation of the rates, a report said on Thursday. This follows a steep 23-25 per cent fall in their revenue in the current fiscal (2023-24) after a 35 per cent growth in the last financial year when charter rates had surged because of geopolitical conflicts (including the Russia-Ukraine war) and higher demand from China post-pandemic, credit rating agency CRISIL said on Thursday. While the margin profile may vary widely across players operating in different segments, CRISIL said the average operating margin may continue to moderate to 33-35 per cent in the next fiscal driven mainly by the correction in charter rates. However, it will remain higher than the pre-pandemic levels of 25-30 per cent, the rating agency forecast. This along with modest capital expenditure (capex) plans, should sustain the healthy credit risk profiles of shipping companies, CRISIL ...

CRISIL downgrades Edelweiss Financial Services' long-term rating to 'A+'

The group's overall credit profile is supported by adequate capitalization, and a diversified business profile with good market position in asset reconstruction and asset management businesses

Amendments to SEZ Act to spur commercial office space leasing: CRISIL

The recent notification of the commerce ministry to demarcate part of Special Economic Zones into non-SEZ areas will spur office space leasing in the country, according to a report prepared by research firm Crisil Ratings. India's office space leasing is expected to benefit from the recent amendments to the SEZ Act of 2005, notified by the commerce ministry on December 6, 2023, it said. As per the notification, the amendments permit the demarcation of a part of the SEZ areas into non-SEZ ones after repayment of tax benefits availed till date, the report said. Such a demarcation of non-SEZ areas is expected to create better occupancy through commercial office space leasing, resulting in higher incomes which will outweigh associated costs. Crisil said the SEZ Act was introduced to drive exports by providing tax exemptions for companies operating within such areas. After the sunset clause of the Act kicked off in April 2020, the legislation is no longer in effect but higher complianc

Travel operators FY25 revenue seen jumping 12-14% this fiscal: CRISIL

Higher airfares and volume which reached the pre-pandemic levels across segments, including long-haul travels, will help the tour and travel sector report healthy revenue growth of 12-14 per cent next fiscal on the back of a record 30 per cent growth this fiscal, says a report. The double-digit growth seen for the next fiscal comes on the heels of a record high growth in the current fiscal, wherein the sector is poised for a revenue growth of 30 per cent, which is about 18 per cent above the pre-pandemic peak, Crisil said in a report Monday. The report also expects higher revenue growth to cushion the increased outgoes by way of the revised tax rates on tax collected at source on overseas travel packages which is in an upswing as the visa-related curbs are easing. Operating margin, too, is expected to be healthy at above 6.5 per cent this fiscal and the next, despite the higher promotional spends, backed by operating leverage benefits and various cost optimisation/automation ...

Erratic rainfall, festive demand raised cost of veg thali 10% in November

The cost of a non-veg thali jumped 5% in November as compared to October: CRISIL's Roti Rice Rate index

With retail demand and investor interest up, India set to get bigger malls

High interest from investors, along with comfortable balance sheets, is expected to keep credit risk profiles of mall owners stable, says Crisil