All you need to know before the market opens on Monday, May 13: Gift Nifty hints gap-down open; India's IIP growth rate slows; Jindal Steel, DLF, UPL and Zomato Q4 results today.
Crude oil prices rose by 0.5 per cent to $78.48 on Monday amid volatility tied to hopes for an end to the Gaza conflict.
Tightening of US sanctions on Russian shipping coupled with reduced availability of Russian oil due to its participation in the OPEC+ grouping's production cuts has hurt discounts to Indian refiners
OPEC is expected to keep the supply tight to maintain the price stability at a time when demand is seen weakening
Indian stock market update on Tuesday, May 07: Global cues, Gift Nifty hint at gap-up start; Q4 earnings, FII flows in focus.
IOCL said crude throughput for Q4 reached record levels of 73,308 MMT in FY24
Prolonged OPEC supply cuts and international sanctions on Venezuela, Iran and Russia had already led to shortages of heavier crude
According to reports, Egypt has revived stalled negotiations between the Israel-Hamas for a ceasefire agreement, thereby pushing crude oil prices lower.
US crude oil inventories swelled last week by 4.906 million barrels, while gasoline and distillate stockpiles fell, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday
India's net oil import bill could widen to USD 101-104 billion in current fiscal from USD 96.1 billion in 2023-24 and any escalation in the Iran-Israel conflict could impart an upward pressure on the value of imports, ICRA said on Tuesday. The domestic rating agency said based on its analysis, lower value of Russian oil imports is estimated to have led to savings of USD 7.9 billion in 11 months (April-February) of 2023-24, up from USD 5.1 billion in 2022-23. "With India's oil import dependency expected to remain high, if the discounts on purchases of Russian crude persist at the prevailing low levels, ICRA expects India's net oil import bill to widen to USD 101-104 billion in FY2025 from USD 96.1 billion in FY2024, assuming an average crude oil price of USD 85/bbl in the fiscal," ICRA said. Additionally, any escalation in the IranIsrael conflict and an associated rise in crude oil prices could impart an upward pressure on the value of net oil imports in the current fiscal year, it .
The peak that Indian crude oil basket has touched since Russia invaded Ukraine in Feb 2022 was in June of the same year pricing at $116.01 a barrel. It has not crossed $100 a barrel after July 2022
India is the largest consumer of Russian seaborne oil, sold at a discount after Western nations shunned purchases from Moscow for its invasion of Ukraine
In the short term, the UAE's goal was to shore up the economy of a country seen as too big to fail
Product imports in March fell 6.1% from the previous month to 3.83 million tonnes, its lowest since July 2023, while exports gained 6.4%
In its recent GREED & fear note Wood said, in the base case, it expects the Russia-Ukraine conflict to continue in the months leading US presidential election in November.
Instead of exiting stocks in case Middle-East crisis flares up, analysts at UBS suggest investors look for alternative strategies to improve the resilience of portfolios and be positioned for rebounds
Even after reduction, discounts on Russian crude oil may be contributing $1.5 to $2.5 a barrel to refiners' gross refining margins
Volatility in crude oil markets threatens macro stability
Iran is the third largest oil producer in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec)
Russia is an ally of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) but it has eaten into the share of India's crude diet from key OPEC producers in the Middle East