In case, the MCX Natural Gas futures manages to conquer the Rs 195 hurdle, a sharp rally towards Rs 260 - 300 seems likely.
The International Energy Agency (IEA) on Tuesday termed the decision of OPEC+ to cut oil production as "risky for the global economy", saying it may push up already high prices, leading to higher import bills for nations like India. Global oil markets were already set to tighten in the second half of 2023, with the potential for a substantial supply deficit to emerge, said Fatih Birol, head of the Paris-based energy watchdog. Talking to reporters after a bilateral meeting with India's Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal here, he said, "The cut of the additional production would mean that we have all the reasons to believe that there could be an upward pressure on the prices". "At this juncture of time when the global economy is still very fragile and many emerging countries have difficulties with economic performance, I found this decision risky for the global economy," he noted. Asked if oil prices could go past USD 100 per barrel again, he said, "I think we are all the da
Brent crude futures rose 65 cents, or 0.8%, to $84.83 a barrel by 1405 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate futures rose 92 cents, or 1.2%, to $80.66 a barrel
Blended marketing margins rose to a 10-month high of about Rs 2.5 per litre in December, multiple analysts said
Others, too, believe that $100 a barrel could become a reality
On Monday, the MCX Crude Oil futures were seen trading above the 100-DMA for the first time in more than six months. Sustained trade above Rs 6,350 can help the trend turn favourable for Crude Oil.
Uncertainty about how much India pays is part of the murkiness around Russian oil flows more generally, as the trade shifts from the Atlantic basin to Asia and from large traders to smaller entities
Oil giant Saudi Aramco said Sunday it earned a USD 161 billion profit last year. The firm, known formally as the Saudi Arabian Oil Co., said in its annual report that higher crude oil prices propelled its profits. It made the announcement on Riyadh's Tadawul stock exchange. In 2021, Aramco declared profits of USD 110 billion, as compared to USD 49 billion in 2020 when the world faced the worst of the coronavirus pandemic lockdown, travel disruptions and oil prices briefly going negative. Benchmark Brent crude oil now trades around USD 82 a barrel, though prices had reached over USD 120 a barrel back in June. Aramco, whose fortunes hinge on global energy prices, announced a record USD 42.4 billion profit in the third quarter of 2022 off the back of that price spike. Those high prices have further strained ties between the kingdom and the United States, traditionally a security guarantor among the Gulf Arab states amid tensions with Iran. Before the midterm elections in November, t
The anticipated trading band for the MCX Crude Oil futures has got narrower to Rs 6,180 - Rs 6,660. Broader trend for Natural Gas remains weak as the commodity trades below 200-WMA.
The Bollinger Bands suggest a likely trading range of Rs 6,070 - Rs 6,650 for the MCX Crude Oil futures; whereas, Natural Gas futures need to sustain above Rs 231 for the pullback to continue.
Meanwhile, the MCX Natural Gas futures need to conquer the key resistances at Rs 224 and Rs 232 for a meaningful pullback rally to emerge.
The MCX Natural Gas futures need to sustain above Rs 209-level, break and sustained trade above Rs 224 can trigger a rally towards Rs 255.
Natural Gas futures have tumbled over 74 per cent their record highs. The commodity is now seen trading below major monthly moving averages after two years.
Higher rates could slow the global economy and weaken oil demand
On the upside, the Rs 6,700-odd level remains a major hurdle for Crude Oil futures; whereas, interim support for Natural Gas is placed at Rs 240.
The rupee appreciated 18 paise to close at 81.18 (provisional) against the US dollar on Friday on broad dollar weakness. However, weak domestic equities and a surge in crude oil prices capped sharp gains for the local currency, forex traders said. At the interbank foreign exchange market, the local unit opened strong at 81.24, and settled for the day at 81.18 (provisional), registering a rise of 18 paise over its previous close. During the trading session, the local unit witnessed an intra-day high of 81.09 and a low of 81.28 against the American currency. On Thursday, the rupee closed at 81.36 against the US dollar. The dollar index, which gauges the greenback's strength against a basket of six currencies, advanced 0.21 per cent to 102.26. Global oil benchmark Brent crude futures rose 0.48 per cent to USD 86.57 per barrel. According to Anuj Choudhary - Research Analyst at Sharekhan by BNP Paribas, the Indian rupee appreciated on Friday on soft US dollar and FII inflows on ...
Freeing the industry from administrative pricing could be the best way forward
In case Rs 285 holds, Natural Gas futures can potentially rally to Rs 344.
Given the concerns around biz, though, a full turnaround is unlikely anytime soon
In case, the MCX Crude Oil futures fail to hold the support, the commodity could revisit its December lows of Rs 5,850 level.