Current Account Deficit

Q2 current account deficit to widen to 7 quarter high of 1.6%: Report

The current account deficit (CAD) for the September quarter is set to widen to 1.6 per cent -- the most in the last seven quarters -- a report said on Thursday. In absolute terms the July-September CAD will be USD 15 billion, or 1.6 per cent, as against USD 9.8 billion, or 1.1 per cent, in the June quarter, India Ratings and Research said in the report. The CAD in the second quarter will be the highest since Q3 FY23, where the crucial gap representing the country's external position was USD 16.8 billion, or 2 per cent of the GDP. The domestic rating agency said merchandise exports shrank 3.9 per cent during the period while goods exports were down to a 12-quarter low of USD 103 billion. Goods exports declined after three quarters due to subdued demand from major exporting partners such as China, Singapore, Bangladesh, and Australia, it said. The CAD is moderate to about 1.3 per cent of the GDP in December quarter, Paras Jasrai, its economist and senior analyst, said.

India's current account balance in $9.7 billion deficit in Q1FY25

Aditi Nayar, chief economist at ICRA, said, "While the CAD expectedly widened in Q1FY25, it undershot our forecast primarily due to secondary income."

India's current account deficit widens to 1.1% of GDP in April-June 2024

The current account deficit stood at $9.7 billion, or 1.1 per cent of the GDP, in the fiscal first quarter, compared with a deficit of $8.9 billion or 1 per cent of GDP in the same quarter a year ago

India's current account deficit may widen to 1% of GDP in Q2FY25: Ind-Ra

According to India Ratings and Research, India's current account deficit (CAD) is expected to rise to 1% of GDP in Q2FY25, with a 1% increase in merchandise exports and a widening goods trade deficit

Stock Market Highlights, June 25: Sensex jumps 712pts, surpasses 78k for 1st time; Nifty tops 23,700

Stock Market Highlights on Tuesday, June 25, 2024: The m-cap of all the companies listed on the BSE stood at Rs 436 trillion at the end of the session

Current account balance posts surplus of 0.6% of GDP in Jan-Mar 2024: RBI

For FY24, the net invisibles receipt was higher during 2023-24 than a year ago, primarily on account of services and transfers, RBI said

India records current account surplus of 0.6% on higher service exports

India recorded a current account surplus of USD 5.7 billion or 0.6 per cent of GDP in the March quarter, the Reserve Bank said on Monday. In the year-ago period, the current account deficit stood at USD 1.3 billion or 0.2 per cent of GDP, and the same was USD 8.7 billion or 1 per cent of GDP in the preceding quarter ending December 2023. For FY24, the current account deficit narrowed to USD 23.2 billion or 0.7 per cent of GDP against USD 67 billion or 2 per cent of GDP in FY23, the RBI said in a release on the Developments in India's Balance of Payments.

India's CAD may show dip in Q4 as net exports hit 11-quarter high

IDFC First Bank in a recent report said in FY25, it estimates CAD at 1.3 per cent of GDP compared to 0.7 per cent of GDP in FY24

Financialisation of household savings can fund private capex: Goldman Sachs

The report titled 'Changing Contours of Indian Household Savings' notes that within financial savings, allocations are shifting from banks to non-banks, especially into retirement savings

The 'stable' run for the rupee to continue

Reserve Bank of India will have to continue to monitor the movements and be nimble to spot volatility in both directions and intervene selectively to reduce excess noise

India's current account deficit narrowed to 1.2% of GDP in Q3: RBI data

Services exports grew due to rising software exports, business and travel services

Highlights: Congress releases 7th list of five candidates for LS polls

Latest news updates: Catch all the news updates from around the world here

India's current account deficit narrows to $10.5 bn in Oct-Dec: RBI

India's current account deficit declined to USD 10.5 billion or 1.2 per cent of the GDP in October-December quarter from USD 11.4 billion in the previous three months and USD 16.8 billion a year back, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) said on Tuesday. Net FDI inflow at USD 8.5 billion during April-December 2023 was lower than USD 21.6 billion during April-December 2022, it said. Also, accretion of foreign exchange reserves (on a BoP basis) was at USD 6.0 billion in October-December (third quarter of current financial year that ends on March 31) compared to an accretion of USD 11.1 billion a year ago. The merchandise trade deficit at USD 71.6 billion was marginally higher than USD 71.3 billion during the third quarter of 2022-23. Services exports grew by 5.2 per cent on a year-on-year basis on the back of rising exports of software, business and travel services. Net services receipts increased both sequentially and from a year ago that helped cushion the current account deficit. In t

India's current account deficit likely to narrow below 1% in FY24

CAD implies the country is importing more goods and services in value than exports

Services trade surplus hits record $44.9 billion in December quarter

Grew 16% over a year earlier; current account deficit likely to reduce

Goldman Sachs sees current account deficit falling to 1% of GDP this fiscal

Stating that the country's external balances are stronger than expected on the back of strong inflows, a Wall Street brokerage on Tuesday projected a much lower current account deficit which is likely to print at 1 per cent for this fiscal, leaving the balance of payment surplus at USD 39 billion. Goldman Sachs in a report said the country's external balances remain favourable with a combination of low CAD, strong capital flows, adequate forex reserves and low external debt. Combined with this, expectations for a weaker dollar due to the likely five US Fed rate cuts this year suggest a "goldilocks" environment for the country's external balances. Accordingly, the Wall Street major has revised upwards its current account deficit (CAD) forecast to 1 per cent of GDP for FY24 from 1.3 per cent earlier, and 1.3 per cent for FY25 from 1.9 per cent earlier, citing a downward revision to their oil price forecast to USD81/barrel in 2024 from above USD90 earlier; and services exports continui

Current account gap narrows to 1% of GDP at $8.3 bn in Q2FY24: RBI

The lower CAD in Q2FY24 was due to the narrowing of the merchandise trade deficit to $61.0 billion from $78.3 billion in Q2FY23

Structural shift

Fiscal conditions in the US will affect capital flows

Current account deficit widens to 1.1% of GDP in June qtr at $9.2 bn

RBI says widening due to higher trade deficit, lower surplus in net services and decline in private transfer receipts

Current account deficit widens to 1.1% of GDP during Q1FY24: RBI

The deficit was $17.9 billion, or 2.1% of GDP, in the first quarter a year ago, the Reserve Bank of India's release showed