India's trade deficit is likely to remain above $20 billion for an extended period, posing the risk of a wider current account deficit, Barclays said
The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) on Wednesday reported that the country recorded a CAD of USD 17.406 billion in FY22 compared to a gap of just USD 2.82 billion in FY21.
While the impact on other currencies has been sharp with most of them depreciating, the rupee has done well, being somewhere in the middle
India is likely to lead the region with 7.3 per cent growth in 2022-23 after the GDP grew 8.7 per cent in 2021-22, said the rating agency
With regard to corporate sector, the report said, it has begun to show signs of revival with robust growth in net sales in the quarter ending March 2022, assisted by a general recovery in demand
If up to $50 billion is withdrawn from forex reserves to finance CAD, the country would still be able to meet nine month's imports. Any withdrawal beyond this could pose a problem
The rupee has declined almost 7% this year, bringing back memories of the selloff nearly a decade ago, when fiscal and current account deficits also widened
Rupee settlement will increase flexibility
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The current account was in deficit to the tune of $ 8.1 billion (1 per cent of GDP) a year ago (Q4 of FY21)
Current account deficit narrows to $13.4 bn or 1.5% of GDP in March qtr against $22.2 bn or 2.6% of GDP in December qtr, say RBI
Adjustment in the rupee exchange rate should not be delayed