Fitch estimates that the impact on impaired loan ratios could be anywhere between 200 to 600 basis points depending on the severity of stress and banks' individual risk exposures.
Rating agency says moratorium extension, easing of working capital loan limits
Fitch said it has made further cuts to world GDP forecasts in its latest Global Economic Outlook (GEO) for May, but the slump in global economic activity is close to reaching its trough
The Indian Steel Association has forecast an 8 per cent drop in domestic demand in FY21
Bank lending needs to be supported by government spending - the fiscal stimulus
Fitch has cut its forecast for India's GDP growth in the financial year ending March 2021 (FY21) to 0.8 per cent from a pre-pandemic forecast of 5.1 per cent
Affirms Issuer Default Ratings for seven banks including these four and Bank of India, Canara and PNB
Banks may look at conserving capital, with asset quality concerns rising amid Coronavirus-induced lockdown
India's Achilles heel on ratings, according to Nomura, is its parlous state of fiscal affairs
Here's a selection of Business Standard opinion pieces of the day
Fitch had in December 2019 reaffirmed India's 'BBB-' rating with a stable outlook
The rating agency predicted two consecutive quarters of contraction or negative year-on-year growth in current fiscal -- (-)0.2 per cent in April-June and (-)0.1 per cent in July-September
Mexico, Brazil, Russia, South Africa and Turkey have all seen big GDP forecast adjustments
This is despite cash collection delays amid Covid-19 pandemic, as favourable regulatory frameworks ensure stable operating profits, rating agency says
S&P expects India's growth to bounce back in FY22
Agency says Covid-19 will disrupt firms Indian operations and also impact key auto markets globally that are served through its UK-based arm, Jaguar Land Rover
On March 20, Fitch had projected India's GDP growth for 2020-21 at 5.1 per cent, lower than 5.6 per cent estimated in December 2019
The funding need can change materially
"We expect growth to slide from 4.7 per cent YoY in Q4CY19 to 3.1 per cent in Q1CY20 and fall to -6.1 per cent in Q2CY20," said Sonal Varma, MD and chief India economist at Nomura.
Falling GDP in China is virtually unprecedented and, in the near term at least, these numbers look worse than most previous hypothetical 'hard-landing' scenarios