Page 2 - Gdp Forecast

Goldman Sachs ups India 2024 GDP forecast to 6.7%; sees RBI rate cut in Q4

RBI's MPC has sounded caution on sticky food inflation, Goldman Sachs says, owing to supply-side disruptions due to the ongoing hot weather conditions in many parts of India

India's Q4 GDP growth projected at 6.7%, FY24 growth at 7.8%, says ICRA

Domestic rating agency ICRA on Tuesday projected India's GDP growth to moderate to a four quarter low of 6.7 per cent in March quarter of 2023-24 fiscal. For the full 2023-24 fiscal, ICRA estimates GDP growth to come in at 7.8 per cent. The Indian economy grew 8.2 per cent in the June quarter, 8.1 per cent in the September quarter and 8.4 per cent in the December quarter of 2023-24. ICRA Chief Economist, Head-Research & Outreach Aditi Nayar said the lower volume growth coupled with diminishing gains from commodity prices dampening the profitability of some of the industrial sectors is expected to dampen India's GVA growth in Q4 FY2024. India's GDP expanded 6.1 per cent in the March quarter of 2022-23 fiscal, as per May 31, 2023 estimates. The growth for full fiscal 2022-23 was 7 per cent. The GDP numbers for the fourth quarter (January-March 2024) and the provisional estimates for the 2023-24 fiscal are scheduled to be released on May 31. ICRA, in a statement, said the gap betwee

India's digital economy is growing 2.8x of GDP: Rajeev Chandrasekhar

'We are already the fastest-growing digital economy in the world, and for me, it is clear that we are aiming for a $1 trillion digital economy by 2027-28', he further added

GDP growth rate likely to be 6.7% in Q4, around 7% in FY24: Ind-RA

India Ratings and Research expects the country's GDP growth rate for the March quarter at 6.7 per cent and around 6.9-7 per cent for the 2023-24 fiscal, its principal economist Sunil Kumar Sinha said. The GDP numbers for the fourth quarter (January-March 2024) and the provisional estimates for the 2023-24 fiscal are scheduled to be released by the government on May 31. The Indian economy grew 8.2 per cent in the June quarter, 8.1 per cent in the September quarter and 8.4 per cent in the December quarter of 2023-24. "We are expecting the fourth quarter growth to be 6.7 per cent and the overall GDP growth for FY24 to be around 6.9-7 per cent," Sinha told PTI Videos in an interview. He said the growth rate in the first two quarters benefited from a low base, though the 8.4 per cent growth rate in the third (October-December 2023) quarter was surprising. "When we analyse the data, then what is visible is the wedge between the GVA and GDP. A large impetus to Q3 GDP has come from higher

UN revises India's GDP growth forecast by 70 basis points to 6.9%

The UN body also noted that surging demand for critical minerals presented new opportunities for developing economies but pointed to a need for innovation and policy and institutional reforms

UK exits recession with better-than-expected forecast 0.6% GDP growth

The Office for National Statistics said gross domestic product expanded by 0.6 per cent in the three months to March, the strongest expansion since the fourth quarter of 2021

'Omens good', India can grow 6.5-7% in the next decade: CEA Nageswaran

Inflation headed towards central bank's tolerance range; 'don't see scope for nasty upside surprises'

India needs 'hard reforms' to reach GDP growth of 7.5%, says HSBC

Prime Minister Narendra Modi - who is seeking a third term in elections that run until June 1 - has been campaigning on making India a developed nation by 2047

Indian economy likely to grow 7% in FY24 amid benign global outlook: NCAER

The Indian economy could grow more than 7 per cent during the current fiscal amid a benign global outlook and expected above-normal monsoon, economic think tank NCAER has said. In its April 2024 issue of Monthly Economic Review (MER), NCAER said a range of high-frequency indicators reveal the resilience of the domestic economy with the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for manufacturing at a 16-year high and UPI, the leading digital payments system, touching the highest volume since its inception in 2016. "Projected acceleration in both global growth and trade volumes, as well as a forecast of an above-normal monsoon, indicate that the Indian economy can again attain growth rates higher than 7 per cent during the current fiscal year," said NCAER Director General Poonam Gupta. According to NCAER, Goods and Services Tax (GST) collections reached Rs 1.8 lakh crore in March, the second best since its rollout in 2017, while UPI recorded 13.4 billion transactions (in volume) in March 2024,

Capex push by govt to propel GDP growth between 7.1-7.4% in FY25: NIPFP

However, the review by the NIPFP also listed compression in the government consumption expenditure and a subdued growth in private consumption as downward risks to the forecast

Our economy doing well compared to global growth: India to World Bank

Despite a challenging global scenario, India's economy has shown robust growth over the past year backed by sustained consumption and investment demand, a top Indian official told members of a World Bank committee here. The GDP growth estimate for the fiscal, which has been revised upwards from 7.3 per cent to 7.6 per cent in the second advance estimates, highlights the enduring strength and resilience of the Indian economy, India's Economic Affairs Secretary Ajay Seth said while addressing the Development Committee meeting here on Thursday. India grew above 8 per cent for three consecutive quarters of FY24, reaffirming its position as a standout performer amidst sluggish global growth trends, Seth said. He said that similar sentiments have been echoed by various agencies who have revised India's fiscal 24 growth estimate closer to 8 per cent. India's proactive stance on reform and investment in sustainable growth avenues sets a benchmark for emerging economies. The Indian delegati

IMF raises India's GDP growth forecast by 30 bps to 6.8% for FY25

Also sees world economy growing faster at 3.2% in 2024

ADB raises India's GDP growth forecast for FY25 to 7% from 6.7% earlier

The ADB had in December last year projected the Indian economy to expand 6.7% in the 2024-25 fiscal

Inflation targeting framework is the focus: RBI governor Shaktikanta Das

The RBI projects CPI will be 4.5 per cent for the whole year, and growth will be 7%

RBI MPC FY25: Repo rate kept unchanged at 6.5% for seventh consecutive time

The RBI MPC has also decided to keep its stance of "withdrawal of accommodation" unchanged with a majority of 5-1

Morgan Stanley raises India's GDP growth forecast for FY25 to 6.8%

Morgan Stanley expects India's GDP growth to remain robust, with an anticipated growth rate of around seven per cent in the fourth quarter of FY24

Investors, once eager to pump in billions in Indian startups, losing steam

In January and February, India's startups raised about $900 million - a pace that signals another slow year after a six-year low of just $8 billion in 2023, Venture Intelligence data shows

Japan's Q4 GDP revised up to slight expansion, economy avoids recession

On a quarter-on-quarter basis, GDP grew 0.1%, compared with the initial reading of a drop of 0.1.% drop and a median forecast for a 0.3% rise

India's February manufacturing PMI rises to 56.9, highest in 5 months

The latest PMI figure comes a day after the National Statistical Office (NSO) data showed that India's GDP grew by 8.4 per cent in the October-December quarter

India's GDP to grow at around 6.75-6.8% in FY25, says Bank of Baroda

The International Monetary Fund has projected the Indian economy to grow at 6.7%