Comparing a data point that has been revised 3-4 times with another that is still called 'advanced estimate' isn't a cases if apples-to-apples but of apples-to-oranges, says V Anantha Nageswaran
India's GDP grew 4.4% in October-December, down from 6.3% in July-September, and below the 4.6% forecast in a Reuters poll
FY23 quarterly, annual estimates may be revised on Tuesday
Govt plans to showcase success of India's digital economy at the G20 summit to be held in New Delhi in Sept
Economists at the State Bank of India (SBI) have projected a GDP growth of 4.6 per cent for the December quarter, citing that as many as 30 high frequency indicators are not as robust as they were in the previous quarters. However, the projection is higher than the Reserve Bank of India's forecast of 4.4 per cent for the third quarter of this fiscal. The lower forecast also stems from poor corporate results, ex-BFSI, which have shown that operating profits grew at a much slower 9 per cent in the third quarter, which is just half of 18 per cent recorded in the year-ago period. Also, despite a 15 per cent in net sales, the bottom line was down by around 16 per cent, Soumya Kanti Ghosh, the group chief economic adviser at SBI, said in a report on Tuesday. Ghosh said he expects an upward revision in growth to 7 per cent for the full fiscal, up from 6.8 per cent projected earlier. This is because the government is anticipated to revise the GDP numbers for FY20, FY21 and FY22 on Februar
IMF added that the central banks across Asia need to stay 'alert' as the core inflation is still high, and the re-opening of China's economy may push inflation up due to higher demand
If MPC's projections hold good, various figures in the Budget would change when the revised estimates are worked out
The rate-increase cycle, which started in May 2022, raising the policy rate from 4 to 6.25 per cent to fight entrenched inflation, is nearing its end
'Consensus forecasts call for a 16 per cent earnings compounded annual growth through FY25, with margin expansion baked in across most sectors', said Eleswarapu
"Goods and Services Tax (GST) growth is estimated at 12 per cent as we expect the economy to do better domestically. However, keeping excise and customs in mind, we lowered the overall target"
Tax reliefs are expected to leave more money in the consumers' hands. While the aim is to boost consumption, the extent of the impact remains to be seen
The quality of the fiscal deficit is also set to improve in FY24, with capex accounting for a much larger share of the same vis-a-vis FY23
Commodity prices will raise total import bill and add to unfavourable developments in current account balance, it says
It says once the global shocks of the pandemic and 2022's unpleasant spike in commodity prices fade away, the Indian economy is likely to record a faster growth during the rest of this decade
Of the many things to watch in the Budget, three things-growth, fiscal deficit and stance on trade-will receive special attention from analysts. Getting the tone right will be crucial
Lowering the fiscal deficit to sustainable levels will be the biggest challenge for the government, but there are enough reasons for it to keep pedalling hard
Amid multiple domestic and international reverses due to its zero-Covid policy and assertiveness, China is unlikely to meet its estimated GDP growth rate, according to World Bank
The upcoming pre-election Budget will carry forward the trend of the increased capital expenditure seen in recent years
The system of releasing numerous GDP growth estimates over three years calls for an overhaul. Budget making will also benefit as a result
If any major middle-income country is truly outperforming in the coming decades, it's the world's soon-to-be third largest economy (and its largest democracy), India, Eurasia Group said in a report