Amid a raging second wave of Covid-19 and subsequent restrictions on business activities imposed by several states, economic recovery is beginning to lose steam
Japanese brokerage Nomura cut its GDP growth estimate for the current 2021-22 fiscal to 10.8 per cent from the earlier 12.6 per cent, blaming the impact of the second wave-induced lockdowns
The government estimates India's gross domestic product shrank 8 per cent in the year ended March, its biggest contraction since 1952
Covid-19 infections in India have surged past 21 million, with a death toll of 230,168, health ministry data showed
S&P Global Ratings on Wednesday slashed India's GDP growth forecast for the current financial year to 9.8 per cent saying the second COVID wave may derail the budding recovery in the economy and credit conditions. The US-based rating agency in March had a 11 per cent GDP growth forecast for India for the April 2021-March 2022 fiscal on account of a fast economic reopening and fiscal stimulus. S&P, which currently has a 'BBB-' rating on India with a stable outlook, said the depth of the Indian economy's deceleration will determine the hit on its sovereign credit profile. The Indian government's fiscal position is already stretched. The general government deficit was about 14 per cent of GDP in fiscal 2021, with net debt stock of just over 90 per cent of GDP. "India's second wave has prompted us to reconsider our forecast of 11 per cent GDP growth this fiscal year. The timing of the peak in cases, and subsequent rate of decline, drive our considerations," said S&P Global ...
SBI has also lowered the gross domestic product (GDP) estimates for fiscal 2021-22 (FY22)
The agency now expects the economy to grow 10-10.5 per cent in 2021-22, against the 10-11 per cent estimated earlier.
Covid-19 to push back this feat by three years. BofA had earlier projected this in 2017 and had expected the Indian economy to achieve this status by 2028
As economic activities gather pace and investor sentiments revive, GDP growth is likely to enter a double-digit growth trajectory and may grow at more than 11 per cent in the next financial year
The ministry said economic activity is gathering pace with mild stiffening of pandemic curve
The Indian economy seems to be moving on the path of faster recovery
The revised method of GDP did not only change the base year, but also the way it is computed.
While several sectors returned to growth in Q3 , agriculture was all along different. GVA in last fiscal year at constant prices was 4.3 per cent.
However, the economy grew by a much higher rate of 3.1 per cent in the fourth quarter of 2019-20
With services sector not yet fully functional, consumption spending - private and government - continues to trend lower. However, capital formation did turn around in the previous quarter
'Significant recovery in manufacturing and construction augurs well for the support these sectors are expected to provide to growth in FY22,' says Ministry of Finance
The GDP forecasts do indicate that we are on the right path and in the absence of any serious localized lockdowns can be expected to accelerate with time
Growth that bounced back from -23.9 per cent in the first quarter to -7.5 per cent now seems poised to return to the positive zone in the third quarter
The agency's earlier forecast for FY21 was 4.5 per cent. The revision was made due to a sharper-than-expected contraction of 6.1 per cent in the nominal GDP
Govt must focus on mobilising more revenues