The RBI Current Situation Index has been negative in all surveys conducted in the past four years except the one in March 2019
The March 2021 RBI Bulletin states that household financial savings in India shot up to 21% of GDP in the first quarter of 2020-21
The flip-flop in flows of financial savings was not very different in advanced economies, where net financial savings rose sharply in Q1 and declined in Q2
Extra savings pegged at $200 billion, according to a foreign brokerage report
Things that cannot go on forever will not go on forever. There will be a change in the direction of the wind. One must hope it will be slow and calibrated, writes T N Ninan
Indicates Covid-19 pandemic has upended the household budget
Slowdown impact on household finances even before Covid
May moderate in subsequent quarters, they say
While the proposed changes in tax laws are applauded it is not clear how household savings will move in India in the future
Financial liabilities, on the other hand, had risen sharply after demonetisation after people heavily stashed cash in bank deposits, insurance schemes, and MFs
This is not a wise move at a time when the rate of household savings is falling. India has practically no social security system for the old and the unemployed
The fiscal multiplied impact of higher government consumption spending is coupled with signal to household sector to spend more
Domestic investment is depended on the cost of capital and the prevailing elevated lending rates are impediments
Since the household sector is the largest contributor to savings, the overall savings rate declined to about 30 per cent in FY17, after remaining well above 32 per cent for many years
At 18.6% of GDP at current prices in FY17, down from a peak of 25.2% in FY10; financial savings at a 2-yr low of 7.8%