Page 3 - India Gdp

ADB keeps India's GDP growth projection for FY25 unchanged at 7%

Projection must be weighed against 'downside risks from weather events and geopolitical shocks', it says

What is China's 'third plenum'? Everything you need to know about it

The first, second and seventh plenums typically focus on the power transition between Central Committees

India to clock GDP growth of 7% in FY25: NITI Aayog member Arvind Virmani

The Indian economy will grow around 7 per cent in the current fiscal year and is on track to maintain a similar growth rate for several years, NITI Aayog member Arvind Virmani said on Friday. Virmani said there are new challenges facing the country and they will have to be dealt with. "Indian economy will grow at 7 per cent plus minus point 0.5 per cent... I expect that we are on track to grow at 7 per cent for several years from today," he told PTI in an interview. Last month, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) pegged the FY25 gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate at 7.2 per cent. Responding to a question on the decline in private consumption expenditures in the last fiscal year, Virmani said it is actually recovering now. "The effect of the pandemic was to draw down savings... and very different from previous financial shocks," he said. Explaining further, Virmani said it is like what he calls a double drought situation. "We also had, of course, El Nino last year, but what the

Economic vision and not stimulus in Modi 3.0 Budget: Goldman Sachs

The government, Goldman Sachs believes, is likely to stick to the announced fiscal deficit target of 5.1 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP) for FY25

India will be unable to plug jobs gap even with 7% growth, says Citigroup

Citi estimates India will need to create about 12 million jobs a year over the next decade to absorb the number of new entrants to the labor market

As crude oil prices rise, rupee falls 5 paise to 83.54 against US dollar

The rupee depreciated 5 paise to 83.54 against the US dollar in early trade on Thursday, weighed down by elevated crude oil prices. Forex traders said a positive trend in domestic equities, wherein benchmark indices touched all-time high levels and significant foreign fund inflows supported the rupee and restricted the fall. At the interbank foreign exchange market, the rupee opened at 83.52 and lost further ground to trade at 83.54 against the greenback in initial deals, registering a fall of 5 paise from its previous closing level. On Wednesday, the rupee settled 1 paisa lower at 83.49 against the US dollar. "Though the equity markets are shining bright, the Indian rupee has been trading flat to weaker, despite a drop in the dollar towards 105.04 and US 10-year yields touching 4.35 per cent, post the US service PMI data and ADP non-farm employment change data were weaker than expected," CR Forex Advisors MD Amit Pabari said. According to Pabari, crude oil prices have risen neari

India's rating upgrade likely in 2 years if fiscal deficit falls to 4%: S&P

The central government estimates to bring down fiscal deficit to 5.1 per cent of the GDP in the current fiscal, from 5.63 per cent in 2023-24

India faces high debt, but sustainable for now: NCAER director-general

At nearly 82 per cent of GDP, India's public debt is very high, but the country doesn't face debt sustainability issue on account of high growth rate and higher share of local currency debt, NCAER Director General Poonam Gupta has said. Participating in an event organised by NCAER, Gupta said India's high debt levels are sustainable for now because of higher real or nominal GDP and as most of the debt is held in rupee. The states together hold one-third of the total debt, and in the 'business as usual' situation, their debt levels will only increase further over the next five years, Gupta said. "In a handful of states like Punjab and Himachal Pradesh, Debt-to-GDP ratio could increase by 50 per cent," Gupta said, adding that the states, including the most indebted ones, also don't face sustainability issue as they have implicit guarantee of the Centre and as states cannot hold debt in foreign currency or floating rate. Drawing a comparison between Punjab, one of the most indebted ..

'Need to moderate rate, widen tax base for Viksit Bharat goal by 2047'

There is a need for a shift in the taxation mindset from rates to revenue by moderating tax rates and widening base in order to achieve the goal of 'Viksit Bharat' by 2047, experts said. They underscored the need on transition from rates to revenue focused on lowering tax rates, enlarging the tax-paying base and thereby creating the means for financing of India's investment and development needs. "Conventional higher tax rates haven't resulted in significant tax buoyancy. Recognising this fact, governments in India since 1991 onwards have clearly batted for moderate tax rates leading to greater levels of transparency and compliance," EY India senior partner Sudhir Kapadia said. Time has come to bite the bullet for reforms in direct taxes, he said, adding, there could be one simplified rate structure for businesses and for individuals, there could be one simple three-rate structure with low or moderate rates, no surcharges and cesses and no significant deductions. On GST, he said, a

Modi 3.0: Moody's anticipates steady policies but sees reform delays

The BJP-led National Democratic Alliance's (NDA) slim majority in Lok Sabha may delay more far-reaching economic and fiscal reforms that could impede progress on fiscal consolidation, Moody's Ratings said on Wednesday. NDA securing a majority in the general elections will give a historic third term for Narendra Modi as Prime Minister of India. "We expect policy continuity, especially with regards to budgetary emphasis on infrastructure spending and boosting domestic manufacturing, to support robust economic growth. "However, the NDA's relatively slim margin of victory, as well as the BJP's loss of its outright majority in parliament, may delay more far-reaching economic and fiscal reforms that could impede progress on fiscal consolidation," Moody's said in a note. India's fiscal outcomes will remain weaker than Baa-rated peers, even as the final budget for the fiscal year ending March 2025 (fiscal 2024-25) to be released in the next few weeks provides some indications of India's ..

RBI's Monetary Policy Committee second meeting of FY25 from June 5-7

A poll by Bloomberg revealed that economists expected the India's central bank to maintain the repo rate at 6.5 per cent for the eight consecutive time

Nifty Bank hits 50,000 mark for the first time ever; Check key reason

Surpassing the 50,000-mark for the very first time, the index's ascent can also be attributed to robust Q4 GDP figures, and S&P recent upgradation of India's rating to positive

Sensex to GDP: How India looked when a party won 400 seats the last time

If the BJP secures over 400 seats in the Lok Sabha, it will be the second party to do so after Congress, which won 414 seats in 1984 after the assassination of Prime Minister Indira Gandhi

A bold initiative or madcap idea?

As studies in Finland, Ireland and Kenya have shown, Congress' promise of Rs 1 lakh to below poverty line women may not just be an experiment in populism

Growth momentum to continue in FY25, better year ahead for agri

Government would decide in the FY25 budget whether the fiscal deficit target of 5.1 per cent of GDP can be lowered further to fast track India towards the fiscal glide path

India's GDP growth rate jumps to 7.8% in Q4; FY24 growth at 8.2%

In the previous quarter, GDP growth rate accelerated to 8.4%, it was 7.6% in the July-September quarter

Stock Market Highlights, May 31: Benchmarks snap 5-day losing run ahead of Lok Sabha exit polls

Stock Market Highlights on May 31: Sensex, and Nifty indices closed up to 0.19 per cent higher ahead of exit polls, Q4FY24 GDP data

India Q4 GDP numbers today: Will the actual data match the predictions?

India's GDP growth rate accelerated to 8.4% in Q3FY24; FY24 growth estimate at 7.6%

Economy expected to have grown at slower pace in Jan-Mar qtr: Survey

The median forecast from a survey of 54 economists put GDP growth at 6.7% year-on-year for the three months, the fourth quarter of India's 2023-24 fiscal

Global perception of India is unequal and fragmented: Claude Smadja

To become an alternative to China, India has to address a big challenge -which is that the industrial base of India is too narrow, he said