Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is likely to keep the key interest unchanged at 6.5 per cent on Thursday, and wait for more macroeconomic data before taking a call on rate cut in line with expectations, experts said. The US Federal Reserve has decided to maintain a status quo on its interest rate for now and indicated there could be monetary policy easing in the coming months. Amid persisting inflationary pressures, RBI will be closely tracking the US monetary policy trajectory before changing its stance on interest rate, which has remained unchanged since February 2023, experts opined. The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) may also refrain from rate cut as economic growth is picking up, notwithstanding the elevated interest rate of 6.5 per cent (repo rate). The meeting of the Reserve Bank Governor Shaktikanta Das headed MPC is scheduled for August 6 to 8. Das will announce the decision of the rate-setting panel on August 8 (Thursday). The central bank last hiked the repo rate to 6.5 pe
Thursday's decision was in line with the forecast in a Reuters poll of economists but financial markets had only seen just over a 60 per cent chance of a cut
The Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) cut the Standing Deposit Facility Rate to 8.25 per cent and the Standing Lending Facility Rate to 9.25 per cent
RBI guv says expected credit loss norms in final state of examination, should be out in current financial year
Voices for interest rate cut are growing within the Reserve Bank's rate-setting panel with external member Ashima Goyal joining ranks with another member Jayanth R Varma who for long has been advocating to reduce the key policy rate by at least 25 basis points. Reserve Bank's monetary policy committee voted for a status quo in repo rate with four members voting in favour and two against. "Dr. Shashanka Bhide, Dr. Rajiv Ranjan, Dr. Michael Debabrata Patra and Shri Shaktikanta Das voted to keep the policy repo rate unchanged at 6.50 per cent. "Dr. Ashima Goyal and Prof. Jayanth R Varma voted to reduce the policy repo rate by 25 basis points," according to Monetary Policy Statement, 2024-25 Resolution of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) released by the central bank. Goyal, Varma and Bhide are external members on the MPC. Ranjan, Patra and Das are RBI officials. In the February 2024 and December 2023 MPC meetings, Varma had made a case for lowering the benchmark interest rate by 25
Inflation in the 20 countries that share the euro has fallen to 2.6% from more than 10% in late 2022, largely thanks to lower fuel costs and an easing of post-pandemic supply snags
IMF spokesperson Julie Kozack also told a regular news briefing that the US economy needs to slow in 2024 and the Fed should remain cautious in cutting rates
ECB policymakers needed to keep rates in restrictive territory this year to ensure that inflation kept easing
The RBI may start cutting its benchmark repurchase rate, currently at 6.5 per cent, by a total of 50 basis points in the October-December period before pausing for a few months
The central bank seeks to ensure inflation aligns durably and sustainably to its 4 per cent target
The March core consumer price index, a measure of underlying inflation that excludes food and fuel, is seen rising 0.3% from a month earlier after a 0.4% advance in February
Officials in Zurich lowered their benchmark to 1.5%, the first such reduction for one of the world's 10 most-traded currencies since the pandemic abated
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Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal on Monday exuded confidence that the Reserve Bank will cut interest rates as inflation is under control. The RBI has been maintaining the benchmark interest rate at an elevated level of 6.5 per cent since February 2023. Goyal said that the economic fundamentals of the country are strong and inflation is under check. He said that the average inflation of 10 years in India is about 5 to 5.5 per cent. It was the best-performing decade and because of that, the interest rate came down "dramatically" and the central bank was strengthened and had the ability to bring down the interest rate. "Of-course in the last year and a half, post Ukraine-crisis, interest rates have again gone up by 250 basis points. But now that inflation is pretty much in control, I suspect we will soon see the reversal of the rate hikes starting in India, whether it happens in the next or the second monetary policy from now. I think it's only a matter of time," Goyal ...
Market participants are also hoping for some relief from the RBI on the liquidity front with the system deficit having hit a record high in January
Italian bonds have benefited from investors' hopes that interest rates will fall sharply this year, reducing pressure on the euro zone's more indebted countries
The dollar index firmed 0.2 per cent, making bullion more expensive for overseas buyers
Global stock markets declined Tuesday ahead of an update on US retail spending after China reported that an economic slump deepened in July and its central bank cut a key interest rate to shore up growth. London, Shanghai and Wall Street futures declined. Tokyo advanced. Oil prices fell. Chinese consumer and factory activity slowed more than expected in July, official data showed. The People's Bank of China cut its interest rate on one-week loans to banks. Policymakers are starting to hit the panic button, Stephen Innes of SPI Asset Management said in a report. Also Tuesday, Russia's central bank raised its main lending rate by 3.5 percentage points to 12% in an emergency move to strengthen the ruble after the currency reached its lowest value since early in the war with Ukraine. The ruble has lost one-third of its value since the start of this year. In early trading, the FTSE 100 in London fell 1.2% to 7,417.72. The CAC 40 in Paris declined 1% to 7,277.68 and the DAX in Frankfurt
RBI projection on GDP growth optimistic, say analysts
OIS rates, often seen as the clearest indication of future policy rate actions, are interest rate derivative products that move as per the expectations of rate trajectory