Page 4 - Mpc

RBI MPC keeps repo rate at 6.5%: What does real estate industry think?

Repo rate unchanged: The experts in the real estate industry said that this decision is likely to keep the momentum in the industry intact

RBI conducts two VRRR auctions in a single day for the first time

The central bank will conduct another overnight VRRR auction of Rs 50,000 crore on Wednesday

Unanimity among current RBI monetary policy committee's internal members

The first MPC formulated policies between October 2016 and August 2020. The second MPC, with three new external members, was established in October 2020

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Govt can look at taxing rich farmers, says MPC member Ashima Goyal

Having taken care of poor farmers by transferring funds into their accounts, the government can contemplate imposing income tax on rich farmers to bring about fairness in the taxation structure, Reserve Bank Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member Ashima Goyal has said. Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman will present the interim Budget on February 1 in the Lok Sabha. "Government transfer payments to farmers are like a negative income tax. Along with that, a positive income tax can be applied for rich farmers as part of a movement to a data-rich system with low tax-rates and minimum exemptions," Goyal told PTI. She was responding to a query on whether agriculture income should be taxed in India. Asked if coalition governments or single-party regimes produced better economic growth rates, the eminent economist said growth rates depend on many things, but in judging a government it is also necessary to see what growth rate they inherited and what they left the country with. "Coalitio

RBI may shift policy stance to neutral by Jun, cut rates by Aug: Nomura

The Reserve Bank may shift the monetary policy stance to "neutral" by June and deliver rate cuts starting August this year, a Japanese brokerage said on Monday. Pointing out to softer core inflation 'or price rise in items excluding food and fuel' in the data released for December, Nomura said there is a need for the policy to pivot towards an easier regime after the extended pause. The brokerage reiterated its earlier view of rate cuts being expected from August onwards, and pegged the quantum of cuts at 1 percentage point. "We expect 1 per cent of rate cuts cumulatively starting August, with a change of stance to 'neutral' in Q2, with risks skewed towards earlier easing," its analysts said. The core inflation for December came at 3.8 per cent, the note said, adding that the annualized growth of super-core inflation has dipped below 3 per cent by its estimates which is a "positive surprise". For January, the headline inflation is likely to cool-off to about 5 per cent, while the

Macro-fundamentals strengthened after facing external shocks: MPC's Ashima

India's macro-fundamentals strengthened even though it faced severe external shocks since 2020, Reserve Bank Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member Ashima Goyal said on Monday. The country's economic diversity, adequate buffers, and feasible reforms have enabled policies to be countercyclical, she told PTI in an interview. With more and more firms and consumers internalising the inflation target, the economy is likely to approach the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI's) inflation target of 4 per cent this year. "There have been severe external shocks (Russia-Ukraine war, Israel-Hamas war, oil prices, Houthi attacks) since 2020. But despite these, Indian macro-fundamentals have strengthened in this period," she said. The economist said the rupee has been relatively stable due to these factors. "Economic diversity, adequate buffers, and feasible reforms... have enabled policies to be countercyclical. We have the capability to implement countercyclical policy and smooth external shocks,"

Indian economy withstood geopolitical shocks; ready for future challenges

The Indian economy has withstood all geopolitical shocks in the last couple of years and it will also be able to navigate the uncertainties that lie ahead, RBI Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member Jayanth R Varma said on Sunday. Varma further said he expects a benign outcome in 2024 where inflation comes down and growth remains robust. "The Indian economy has withstood all these shocks ( Russia-Ukraine war, Israel-Hamas war, rising oil prices, Houthi attacks) in the last couple of years, and I do not believe that the geopolitical situation will be significantly worse in coming months than what we experienced in the recent past," he told PTI in an interview. Moreover, Varma, a professor at the Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad, said the continued slowdown in China has led to sharply reduced demand for energy and other commodities, and this too has ameliorated the adverse effects of supply shock. "On the whole, I have a great deal of confidence that India will be able to ..

MPC's Jayanth R Varma envisions lower inflation, higher growth in 2024

The Indian economy has withstood all geopolitical shocks in the last couple of years and it will also be able to navigate the uncertainties that lie ahead, RBI Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member Jayanth R Varma said on Sunday. Varma further said he expects a benign outcome in 2024 where inflation comes down and growth remains robust. "The Indian economy has withstood all these shocks ( Russia-Ukraine war, Israel-Hamas war, rising oil prices, Houthi attacks) in the last couple of years, and I do not believe that the geopolitical situation will be significantly worse in coming months than what we experienced in the recent past," he told PTI in an interview. Moreover, Varma, a professor at the Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad, said the continued slowdown in China has led to sharply reduced demand for energy and other commodities, and this too has ameliorated the adverse effects of supply shock. "On the whole, I have a great deal of confidence that India will be able to ..

Weak consumption demand key vulnerability for growth: Shashanka Bhide

Shashanka Bhide, one of the three external members of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), on Thursday flagged a weak consumption demand as a key vulnerability for growth in the second half of the current fiscal as well as the next financial year. After more-than-expected Q2 growth which printed at 7.6 per cent on the back of a 7.8 per cent clip in Q2, the Reserve Bank in the December policy review revised upwards the FY24 growth projection by 50 bps to 7 per cent. While the government does not have an official GDP forecast number, it expects the economy to grow at 6.5-7 per cent this fiscal. "The September quarter growth at 7.6 per cent was significantly more than what we were expecting. But these numbers, even when they are more positive or favourable, require far more concern. "I believe there are vulnerabilities to this 7 per cent growth assessment. The few major growth drivers include investments that are driving growth, but we see weaker growth in consumption demand," Bhide s

Financial sector set to see churn in 2024 with major leadership changes

Shaktikanta Das, governor of RBI and the chair of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), will complete his six-year term in December 2024. Das, who was first appointed in December 2018 for three years

'Cut essential to check high real interest rate', says RBI MPC member

Jayanth Varma, an external member of the RBI's Monetary Policy Committee, has stated that an interest rate cut is required to prevent excessive real interest rates amid changing economic landscape

'Closer to where rates have to be cut to avoid excessive real interest'

Varma says that since monetary policy acts with lags of three to five quarters, rate actions must be based on projected inflation rather than past inflation prints. In an interview with Manojit Saha

Need to keep real rates at level to sustain virtuous cycle: Ashima Goyal

Ashima Goyal tells Manojit Saha in an email interview that the inflation rate does not necessarily have to fall to 4%, but it is essential to be confident that it will stay below 5%

Time to review insurance cover; and buy art: Top personal finance stories

Our best stories this week explain how to review a key component of your financial portfolio and how to invest in art

IIP surges 11.7% in October; retail Inflation jumps to 5.55% in November

IIP surges 11.7% in Oct; uptick in food prices lifts retail inflation to 5.55% in Nov

Central bank and cricket

While the economy seems to be on a firm growth path, the fight against inflation is not over yet. It has not even entered the last round

Encouraging outlook

Inflation is expected to ease in the coming quarters

RBI MPC keeps repo rate unchanged at 6.5% for 5th straight policy review

The central bank raised the GDP growth forecast for FY24 to 7% from 6.5%

Monetary Policy Committee may have underestimated economic growth for Q2

Most economists peg it higher than 6.5%, numbers to come today