Opinion Polls

Can 'poll of polls' accurately predict election outcomes? May be not

'Poll of polls' has gained popularity for its ability to consolidate information and engage public interest during election times. But what do they actually reveal about voter choice? Let's find out

Donald Trump pledges to take jobs and factories from allies, China

The high cost of living and jobs are the top issues for Americans according to opinion polls

Open to probe, regulations will help doing business: Axis My India chief

Facing opposition fire for exit polls allegedly being used for stock market manipulation, Axis My India's chief Pradeep Gupta has said he is open to facing all kinds of investigations and it would help do business in a much better way if the government frames specific regulations for pollsters. Opposition parties and several civil society groups have been asking for thorough investigations, including by capital markets regulator SEBI and a Joint Parliamentary Committee (JPC), after the stock markets witnessed a massive rally when exit polls gave a huge majority to the BJP but fell sharply after the actual results showed the ruling party falling short of a clear majority on its own. In an interaction with PTI editors at the agency's headquarters here, Gupta said he has been demanding formulation of norms and regulations for pollsters since five years. Gupta, the chairman and managing director of Axis My India that had predicted 361-401 seats for the BJP-led alliance as against the ..

Rajasthan exit polls: Govt change tradition to continue; landslide for BJP

Rajasthan Assembly elections 2023: A party must secure 101 out of the 200-seat Assembly to form government in the state

Exit Polls highlights: Chhattisgarh to Cong, Raj, MP to BJP; Mizoram hung

State Assembly elections LIVE: Catch all the latest updates of Assembly elections 2023 here, poll predictions to be released soon

Rishi Sunak gets small bump in opinion polls after crowd-pleasing tax cuts

British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak and the governing Conservatives are enjoying a small bump in the opinion polls after some crowd-pleasing tax cuts were announced in the Autumn Statement budget this week, it emerged on Friday. According to a YouGov survey for The Times' conducted after the budget was tabled by UK Chancellor Jeremy Hunt in Parliament on Wednesday, the popularity rating for the Sunak-led Tories rose to 25 per cent which is four points up from the previous week, the party's highest rating in recent weeks. The Opposition Labour continues to hold on to their firm lead, with no change to their 44 per cent rating. It is the highest rating since mid-September and only three points below Sunak's highest-ever rating last April, the newspaper analysis notes. "Labour still holds a commanding 19-point lead over the government, however, with the poll suggesting that most voters do not believe the measures announced by Hunt will make either themselves or the country materially

Rajasthan Assembly Elections 2023: All you need to know about the state

Here is everything you need to know about the state ahead of the Rajasthan State Assembly Elections 2023

Rajasthan elections: CM approves retirement benefits for part-time workers

Rajasthan's animal welfare board has been named "Amrita Devi State Animal Welfare Board", after Amrita Devi Bishnoi, during a state cabinet meeting

Madhya Pradesh Assembly Election 2023: Date, schedule, seats, opinion polls

Polling to elect the 230-member Madhya Pradesh Legislative Assembly is scheduled for later this year, along with Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan, Telangana and Mizoram

BJP expects to win more seats in Gujarat than forecast in opinion poll

The surprise package is the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) that is projected to win between 7 and 15 seats. As a party, AAP was non-existent in Gujarat in the 2017 elections.

IANS-CVoter Mood Tracker: Divided opinions over image of Jharkhand CM

Jharkhand Chief Minister Hemant Soren got a big relief from the Supreme Court as the apex court stayed proceedings against him in the Jharkhand High Court in a money laundering case

Letter to BS: Multiplicity of political parties reduces scope of exit polls

There are constrains which reduce the appeal and validity of opinion polls in India. With about 900 million voters, much would depend on the reach of pollsters.

On improved opinion polls for Delhi

Often, opinion polls fail to predict the number of seats of different parties but they usually don't make too many mistakes predicting their vote shares

The problem with opinion polls

The problem is that such data, based on people's responses, as with political opinions for election analysis, is overly subjective and imprecise, and the resultant statistics are prone to misuse

TN Ninan: Choosing one's facts

Does the bulk of the media have a political bias? Perhaps it doesn't matter so long as one can speak truth to power. But as in the case of the now-famous death of a judge, was it truth at all?