Expectations (as measured by pre-budget equity market performance), wrote analysts at Morgan Stanley in a note, are important in determining what the market does immediately after the budget
Ridham Desai, Raamdeo Agrawal, Prashant Jain, and Andrew Holland: Meet the market experts of BS BFSI Summit 2023
The defining moment, Desai said, could be if and when the 26-party opposition alliance, known as I.N.D.I.A., is able to strike a seat-sharing deal
Earlier in November 2022, Morgan Stanley had reiterated its stance on the Indian markets and said that the bull-run remained intact. Back then, they expected the Sensex to hit 80,000 levels by Dec '23
Despite a record rise in trading by retail investors over the past eight years, Indian households remain "dramatically" underweight in the asset class, says Ridham Desai
In a bull-case scenario (30 per cent probability), Morgan Stanley expects the Sensex to hit 75,000 by December 2022-end and sees the 30-share index at 45,000 by the year-end in a bear case scenario
The research and brokerage house had recently downgraded India to equal-weight in their global emerging markets (GEMs) country portfolio.
Interview with MD - research, Morgan Stanley
On the global front, Desai believes India is relatively good in an otherwise broken emerging market world