BS EDIT: Changing Expectations: US Policies Are Shaping Global Markets

By Business StandardPublished On Dec 20, 2024

FOMC’s Policy Adjustment

The US Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points, but markets fell as the S&P 500 dropped 3 per cent and bond yields hit 4.5 per cent

Inflation Disrupts Market Sentiments

Inflation remains above the Fed's 2 per cent target and is projected to reach 2.5 per cent by 2025, dimming hopes for major rate cuts

Trump’s Tariff Plans

Trump’s proposed tariffs, particularly on Chinese imports, could raise US consumer prices, increasing inflation and complicating Fed policy

Impact on Global Markets, Currencies

Higher US rates strengthened the dollar, pressuring emerging markets. The rupee crossed ₹85, with RBI interventions cutting forex reserves by $50 billion since September

Rupee’s Role in India’s Response

The rupee’s overvaluation risks trade competitiveness. Gradual adjustment could balance exports and inflation, shaping RBI policy

Looking Ahead: Navigating Uncertainty

Clarity on US policies and inflation is expected soon, but markets must adapt to high volatility as central banks adjust strategies