BS EDIT: How Fed easing cycle is different this time

By Business StandardPublished On Sep 20, 2024

Fed's rate cut

The US Federal Reserve has cut the federal funds rate by 50 bps to 4.75-5%, aiming for a soft landing amid economic uncertainties

Cautious reductions

Fed has projected another 50-bp cut this year, but warned against interpreting this as a sign of continuous rate reduction

Unique easing cycle

Unlike typical easing cycles, lower rates now risk increased spending, potentially causing inflation to stick above the target

Neutral rate reassessment

The neutral rate, previously around 2.5%, is now estimated between 3.5% and 4.8%, limiting the scope for significant rate cuts

Global impact

Fed's actions influence global financial markets. This cycle differs as rates are expected to stay well above near-zero levels

Implications for India

With the Fed easing, RBI must manage capital flows to avoid rupee appreciation, while staying focused on its 4% inflation target